Round 10 (2024)

GOAL SCORERS

Toby Greene

Loves playing the Doggies, kicked 40 goals in 14 games against them, by far the most of any team. Last 3 games has gone for 4,7 and 5 against them, they historically and still don't have a good matchup for him. His form has been a bit up and down this year, so as a result we are seeing an inflated price for one of our favourites.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet

Units: 

1U 3+ $2.80

0.5U 4+ $6.00

0.2U 5+ $13.00

TOTAL POINTS

GWS/WB u180.5

Bookmaker: Pointsbet $1.90

Units: 1

SYD/CAR Q1 o41.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Units: 1

COLL/ADE Q1 o41.5

Bookmaker: TS $1.91

Units: 1

BRI/RICH 

(RICH team total) u60.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.90

Units: 0.5

PA/HAW

(PA team total Q1) o24.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.92

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Lachie Whitfield u29.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

The Dogs would be crazy this afternoon to not lock down on Whitfield. Teams in the last few weeks have shown that it is an extremely effective way of slowing down the orange tsunami. Now without Ash and Kelly it becomes even more important in slowing down their ball movement. Rhylee West and James Harmes are options to go to him and might tagteam in the forward line. There’s also some weather around today which might make it a little slippery in Sydney (see our unders play from earlier in the week) and difficult to handle the ball in uncontested situations. The WB are also -6% on the season to the designated kicker.

Jeremy Sharp o18.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 1

The defensive wing position against the Saints is a bit of a classical spot to hit. The bookmakers here will focus on staying high on the lines of guys like Jordan Clark, Luke Ryan and Serong. Sharp should be highly involved in the switching of play and covering the defensive wing. This game will be a highly uncontested game of chess across both halfback lines we both teams being very tentative. This line is a little low considering how involved Sharp was last week against the Swans and should be again.

Dustin Martin u21.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.78

Units: 1.15

This is a tough matchup for Dusty in what looks like a flogging. He could possibly get a little more midfield time but that's not going to help him much with the Lions going -6% on uncontested ball and -7% in the midfield across the season. Dusty is on the decline and we'll see more rough games from him from here in.

Darcy Wilmot o19.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1

Tough spot for Wilmot last week away to the Crows but a good bounce back spot here. There are some epic uncontested concession numbers coming out of Richmond games at the moment and this is a pretty comfortable line for Wilmot to cover.

Alex Neale-Bullen o19.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $2.20 (Sportsbet $2.18)

Units: 0.8

Neale-Bullen went into the midfield last week to replace Tracc to great effect. He's performed well  almost every time in that role and we have to expect that the Demons do the same thing again. The Eagles have lost their best pressure player in Elliott Yeo and it's far easier to find space in the contest.

Archie Perkins o20.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.99

Units: 0.9

No Parish and building nicely after injury with a great matchup.