Round 12 (2024)

Total Points

WB/COLL

Q1 Total o41.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.95

Units: 1

WB/COLL u170.5 

Bookmaker: Pointsbet/Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 1

WC/StK u165.5

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.89

Units: 2

WC/StK o152.5 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

ESS/GC u169.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.88

Units: 2

HAW/ADE o40.5 Q1

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.89

Units: 1

Disposals

Nic Newman u22.5

Newman has been getting less and less opportunity in defence with the returns of McGovern and Saad. He comes up against one of the toughest match ups in the league in Port at night away. Getting a great line here.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1

Sam Walsh u30.5

We’ve got some great numbers around the way Port Adelaide inhibits opposition midfielders uncontested numbers when playing at Adelaide Oval at night. On top of that Willem Drew did a good job of stopping Walsh last time out and kept him to 23 disposals. This is a good letdown spot for Walsh after an easy run last week against the Suns. The Swans learned how effective running with Walsh be by putting Jordan on him and stopping Carlton’s transition. On top of that there is a fair bit of rain expected in Adelaide today and some of the slipperiness should stick around tonight.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.90

Units: 1

Marcus Bontempelli o26.5

Collingwood have lost most of their midfield depth and will be rolling a lot of inexperienced players through the midfield. There will be a lack of pressure as the game goes on and the Pies don't tag. The Dogs will be heavily reliant on Bont and he’ll have to put in a big game for the Dogs to win. 

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

Jack Bowes o20.5

It's no secret that the Tigers currently give up a lot of possession to the opposition particularly in the midfield. I think we'll see Bowes see a lot more time in the middle today where he has a good coverage rate at this line even without the Tigers match up. The Cats have lost 2 mids and not replaced any (without an obvious tag, O’Connor I think covers back) so Bowed should see good mid time. Should also be fresh off the sub last week.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.86

Units: 1

Zac Merrett u29.5

Strong letdown spot here for Merrett after an easy Tigers game. The sons have been putting on extreme levels of pressure in their home games against opposition Midfields. The conditions especially in the second half a highly unfavourable for heavy accumulation in the middle.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.85

Units: 1

Dyson Heppell u19.5

Similar letdown spot here for post-Tigers in very difficult conditions to accumulate on the outside. Heppell has slowly been pushed out of defence onto the wing in the position where last year he found it difficult to get large amounts of the ball. This is an enhanced by the return of Ridley which crowds the defensive side even further.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.91

Units: 2

Andrew McGrath u23.5

Number too high based on aforementioned competition in the Bomber defence and a tough uncontested matchup.

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes $1.91

Units: 1

GOAL SCORERS

Jamarra Ugle-Hagan

Had a bit of a quiet patch after a couple games off and likely had some off-field distractions. Hit back with 3 goals last week against the best team in the comp atm. Collingwood are at their most vulnerable tonight and missing key players over the park. The Dogs should be able to bring the ball into their fwd line with some speed and JUH should get his opportunities infront of the sticks. If he kicks straight he could be in for a big night

Bookmaker: PointsBet

Units:

1U 2+ $1.8

0.5U 3+ $3.5

0.2U 4+ $8.5

0.1U 5+ $19

PB