Round 13 (2024)

Total Points

ADE/RICH Q1 o40.5

Bookmaker: TAB $1.85

Units: 2

Total Points

WB/BL Q1 o41.5

Bookmaker: Topsport $1.86

Units: 1

COLL/MEL u167.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 2

StK/GC u163.5

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Units: 1

SYD/GEE Q1 o42.5

Bookmaker: TopSport $1.90

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Daniel Rioli u23.5

The Tigers come into this one on a really tough schedule with some of their more experience players like Rioli playing heavy minutes over the last three weeks. This is a really tough spot playing away in Adelaide at night of half back. Look at his heat map last week re-Oley started to play more minutes forward of centre in the second half indicating a slight change of role here. Not sure if that sticks but it's a factor to add to the others.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.84

Units: 1.15

Dion Prestia u23.5 

The Meatball is officially the most subbed player of all time giving his under a little extra value. Without that value this is a good number for him as he rarely covers these days. Adelaide Oval at night is a great place to take the under. It's tough to get an contested ball and the crows are a great ground ball team. He also might see restricted TOG as he comes back from injury and the Tigers aim towards Dusty’s 300th.

Bookmaker: PointsBet $1.80

Units: 1.1

James Peatling 20+ (o18.5 w. promo)

Peatling has been averaging 21 since being inserted into a new wing/midfield role. The wide expanses of the biggest ground in the league at York Park suits uncontested accumulation and we have to take him this number with the promotion.

Bookmaker: TAB $2.10

Next Best: Sportsbet $2.15

Units: 0.8U

Noah Anderson u27.5

Anderson has put up some big numbers lately but mostly at home. This been a trend in his career he hasn't been able to shake and should cop some attention from Windhager as clubs seem to want to focus on him out of all of the midfielders. This was done affectively a few weeks ago at the same ground by George Hewett.

Bookmaker: Bet 365 $1.87

Next Best: Sportsbet $1.70

Units: 1U

Jeremy McGovern u21.5

The big hot dog punching jalopy has had his best season for a while and is putting up some impressive numbers. However this is becoming tempered a little bit by the return of Witherden. Guv only managed 21 last week in the easiest match up in the league against the Saints. Believe it or not North Melbourne are the hardest match up for players behind the ball with -9% relative to other teams and only 27& coverage in the last 8 rounds. This is due to North’s position heavy chipping game across there and a half back line and then their eerie accuracy in front of goal denying kick outs.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.88

Next Best: Bet 365 $1.87

Units: 1U

Max Holmes u27.5

Holmes has been on a hot run with some easy matchups but this one is a simple tag play. The Cats only have a few damaging players with the ball and we’re picking James Jordon to run with him and Hayward to go to Stewart.

Bookmaker: Bet365 $1.87

Next Best: N/A

Units: 1

GOAL SCORERS

Cam Zurhaar

Has mixed his form this year but still getting plenty of shots on goal. Attending a handful of CBA's but mainly playing a fwd role. Think WC can cover Larkey pretty well, but we like the Zurhaar matchup. WC have shown some improvement but at the end of the day they are still a bottom 10 team and without Reid and Kelly i think NM will be in the fight today, Zur should get his chances, hopefully he can convert.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet

Units:

1U 2+ $2.55

0.4U 3+ $6.75

0.1U 4+ $19

Ollie Dempsey

O.Henry is out, with Rohan as the sub we expect Dempsey to play a more prominent role fwd here to cover Henry. Blicavs comes in to fill the wing role.

Bookmaker: Pointsbet

Units:

1U AGS $1.95 PB

0.4U 2+ $7.5

0.1U 3+ $23

Will Hoskin-Elliot

Trained as a deep forward during the week. The way we see the team going, Krueger will play as the 2nd ruck/fwd. Hoskin Elliott will play as a key forward deep in F50, Howe to play down back where he trained during the week.

Bookmaker: Bet365

Units:

1.5U AGS $1.95

0.5U 2+ $5.5

0.2U 3+ $21