Round 4 (2024)

HANDICAPS

GWS -16.5

Bookmaker: Ladbrokes

Units: 1

TOTAL POINTS

ADE/MEL o167.5

Bookmaker: Topsport

Units: 1

PA/ESS o177.5

Bookmaker: Topsport

Units: 1

FRE/CAR o165.5

Bookmaker: TAB

Units: 1

GC/GWS o169.5

Bookmaker: TAB

Units: 1

RICH/StK o164.5

Bookmaker: Topsport

Units: 1

COLL/HAW o168.5

Bookmaker: TAB

Units: 1

DISPOSALS

Ed Langdon u19.5 $1.84

Adelaide Oval at night against the crows is a very tough spot for uncontested ball. Crows post clearance brown ball numbers were through the roof last year. This week at zero and three they'll be at peak motivation to win those balls and guys like Langdon and Salem will struggle.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet

Units: 1.1

Christian Salem u20.5 $1.80

Bookmaker: Sportsbet

Units: 1.2

Colby McKercher u19.5 $1.85

This play fits in with our research around 1st year players playing away from home and the struggles wing defenders have accumulation on smaller grounds like Norwood Oval.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet

Units: 1.1

Nic Martin u26.5 $1.85

Nic goes from the easiest spot in the league for his position to the hardest here.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet

Units: 1.1

Harley Reid u16.5

Never a big accumulator in juniors and will struggle to achieve this mark in away games this season, especially in games where the line is over 60.5 and uncontested ball will be tough to find.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.87

Units: 1

Shai Bolton u22.5

Had a solid midfield role but the Tiges get a few back this week and the ball will be spending a whole lot of time in the Tigers back half today with the way the Saints will set up on the small Norwood Oval.

Bookmaker: Sportsbet $1.86

Units: 1

GOALKICKERS

Harrison Petty

With Steven May set to return on Thursday night we should expect Petty to role forward again, he started the season there and only went back to cover for May. While he is yet to have become a consistent goal kicker this Adelaide backline cannot be trusted and Petty is going to be a key target in the Melb forward 50.

Bookmaker: Topsport.

1U 2+ $2.63

0.4U 3+ $6.25

0.1U 4+ $19

Toby Greene

Started the season pretty slowly by his standards, only 2 goals so far. However GWS are flying as a team and they are really sharing it around each week. GC over the last couple seasons have defended Key Fwds well but have been getting torched by the small/mid size guys. Last game it was Weightman who got off the chain for 6 goals. The week prior Keays/Rachele/Rankine combined for 7 of the 8 team goals and in R0 Bolton kicked 3. 

This looks like a perfect setup for Toby, i like the Giants to cover the line and i think he will be getting plenty of opportunities.

Bookmaker: Topsport

Units:

1U 3+ $3.1

0.5U 4+ $6.75

0.2U 5+ $17